f/k/a . . .

April 20, 2005

the new pope’s life expectancy

Filed under: pre-06-2006 — David Giacalone @ 4:00 pm

Because he is 78 years old, a lot of commentators seem to think that the new Pope,  Benedict16

Benedict XVI, is likely to have a very short term, in a placeholder or interim papacy. 

Norm Pattis at Crime & Federalism even penned a post calling him “Pope Rigor Mortis I,”

and offering a long-distance, photographically-based, negative assessment of

Benedict’s “intellectual vigor.” [Norm, there are a lot of octagenarians with intellectual

vigor and a lot of brash younger folk without it.  I’ve seen no sign that Joseph Ratzinger’s

much-praised and prolific brain has been in decline.]










growing old–
by the hearth’s light
piecework

 

               ISSA by Lanoue

 

Although I’m hoping RiskProf  Martin Grace will use his expertise and/or contacts to

come up with more specific LE numbers for Benedict XVI, I’ve decided to do some

quick research.   I discovered:



  • The average life expectancy of a male in the U.S. who lives to be

    78 is 8.7 additional years. (National Vital Statistics Reports,Vol. 53,

    No.6, Nov. 10,2004, p. 16, Table 5).


  • However, based on nationality, we might expect Benedict XVI to
    have a slightly longer life expectancy, since the mortality tables show that

    the overall life expectancy in Germany, Joseph Ratzinger’s birthplace, is

    77.4 years; and, in his most recent country of residency, Italy, it’s 79.0

    years.  The life expectancy in U.S.A. is lower — 77.1 years. [from U.S.

    Census Bureau’s International Data Base, via About.com geography page]. 

Of course, there are other factors that might further prolong Benedict’s life expectancy

and/or active lifespan:



- education level

- clean living

- access to the very best health care (at no cost)

- prayers of hundreds of millions of the faithful

- divine intervention

So, as he has a job with no mandatory retirement age, those expecting Benedict XVI

to be just a shooting star should probably choose a simile featuring a more-permanent

heavenly body — and react, plan, celebrate, worry, etc., accordingly.

 

update (April 22, 2005):  The gracious RiskProf has responded to our request for his

expert opinion — giving his own musings on eternal life expectancies and ancient

Romans.  Martin also linked to an AP story that discusses the state of Pope Benedict’s

health.

 










the old priest

dressed like a dandy –

spring mountain

 

 


 

nowhere, nowhere
can a young scarecrow
be found

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

my old age–
even facing a scarecrow
ashamed






     






                        

ISSA, translated by David G. Lanoue

 

 

by dagosan:  







my long-lived elders –

a couple extra decades

of dementia 

                                                       [April 20, 2005]

the new pope’s life expectancy

Filed under: pre-06-2006 — David Giacalone @ 4:00 pm

Because he is 78 years old, a lot of commentators seem to think that the new Pope,  Benedict16

Benedict XVI, is likely to have a very short term, in a placeholder or interim papacy. 

Norm Pattis at Crime & Federalism even penned a post calling him “Pope Rigor Mortis I,”

and offering a long-distance, photographically-based, negative assessment of

Benedict’s “intellectual vigor.” [Norm, there are a lot of octagenarians with intellectual

vigor and a lot of brash younger folk without it.  I’ve seen no sign that Joseph Ratzinger’s

much-praised and prolific brain has been in decline.]










growing old–
by the hearth’s light
piecework

 

               ISSA by Lanoue

 

Although I’m hoping RiskProf  Martin Grace will use his expertise and/or contacts to

come up with more specific LE numbers for Benedict XVI, I’ve decided to do some

quick research.   I discovered:



  • The average life expectancy of a male in the U.S. who lives to be

    78 is 8.7 additional years. (National Vital Statistics Reports,Vol. 53,

    No.6, Nov. 10,2004, p. 16, Table 5).


  • However, based on nationality, we might expect Benedict XVI to
    have a slightly longer life expectancy, since the mortality tables show that

    the overall life expectancy in Germany, Joseph Ratzinger’s birthplace, is

    77.4 years; and, in his most recent country of residency, Italy, it’s 79.0

    years.  The life expectancy in U.S.A. is lower — 77.1 years. [from U.S.

    Census Bureau’s International Data Base, via About.com geography page]. 

Of course, there are other factors that might further prolong Benedict’s life expectancy

and/or active lifespan:



- education level

- clean living

- access to the very best health care (at no cost)

- prayers of hundreds of millions of the faithful

- divine intervention

So, as he has a job with no mandatory retirement age, those expecting Benedict XVI

to be just a shooting star should probably choose a simile featuring a more-permanent

heavenly body — and react, plan, celebrate, worry, etc., accordingly.

 

update (April 22, 2005):  The gracious RiskProf has responded to our request for his

expert opinion — giving his own musings on eternal life expectancies and ancient

Romans.  Martin also linked to an AP story that discusses the state of Pope Benedict’s

health.

 










the old priest

dressed like a dandy –

spring mountain

 

 


 

nowhere, nowhere
can a young scarecrow
be found

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

my old age–
even facing a scarecrow
ashamed






     






                        

ISSA, translated by David G. Lanoue

 

 

by dagosan:  







my long-lived elders –

a couple extra decades

of dementia 

                                                       [April 20, 2005]

a scarecrow trio

Filed under: pre-06-2006 — David Giacalone @ 1:24 pm

 



The book The Scare Crow: A Collection of Haiku & Senryu

(Leroy Kanterman, Ed., Hiroake Sato, translator, Red Moon Press,

1999), has dozens of wonderful haiku featuring the scarecrow, along

with an essay “The Scarecrow and Our Haiku” by John Stevenson.

 

scare crow cover  Here are three of the poems,

written by a trio of f/k/a’s Honored Guests:

 



 

a cricket

lending the scarecrow

a voice

             John Stevenson

 

 

 

 

 

 






seeding time

the farmer dresses the same

as the scarecrow

                              Jim Kacian

 

 

 

 

the scarecrow

moving backwards –

autumn rain




 

 

crow sm  For more, see scarecrow: yes, strawman: no (Aug. 26, 2005),

and click for over 50 scarecrow haiku by Kobayashi Issa translated by David G. Lanoue











              scarecrowHaikuN

 

a scarecrow trio

Filed under: pre-06-2006 — David Giacalone @ 1:24 pm

scare crow cover The book The Scare Crow: A Collection of Haiku & Senryu (Leroy Kanterman, Ed., Hiroake Sato, translator, Red Moon Press, 1999), has dozens of wonderful haiku featuring the scarecrow, along with an essay “The Scarecrow and Our Haiku” by John Stevenson.

Here are three of the poems, written by a trio of f/k/a’s Honored Guests:

    a cricket
    lending the scarecrow
    a voice

                         John Stevenson

 

    seeding time
    the farmer dresses the same
    as the scarecrow


Jim Kacian

 

tthe scarecrow  scare crow cover
moving backwards –
autumn rain

Gary Hotham

crow sm For more, see scarecrow: yes, strawman: no (Aug. 26, 2005), and click for over 50 scarecrow haiku by Kobayashi Issa translated by David G. Lanoue

scarecrowHaikuN

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