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	<title>Comments on: Great Crash? (中国经济大崩溃？)</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/</link>
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		<title>By: ZhangN</title>
		<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/comment-page-1/#comment-1619</link>
		<dc:creator>ZhangN</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Oct 2008 05:46:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/?p=456#comment-1619</guid>
		<description>Scott, 

Peking University professor Michael Pettis, who has a brilliant blog called &quot;China Financial Markets,&quot; would disagree with both of your points.  He would strongly reject the idea (as would, by the way, most China-based economists) that China has a &quot;quick-reacting and iron-fisted government that can change economic regulations at the drop of a hat.&quot;  On the contrary one of the big problems Beijing faces is that factional infighting has created policy paralysis, in Pettis&#039; words, and even when policy is agreed to it is often nearly impossible for Beijing to enforce it in the provinces.

Second they cannot easily &quot;toy with its money and exchange rate, making it incredibly difficult to exchange even small amounts of currency from the yuan to others.&quot;  They have got themselves caught in a monetary policy that they are desperate to control but cannot get out of, and it seems that speculative inflows this year were the highest ever recorded in history.  They tried everything they could to stop it, but to no avail.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Scott, </p>
<p>Peking University professor Michael Pettis, who has a brilliant blog called &#8220;China Financial Markets,&#8221; would disagree with both of your points.  He would strongly reject the idea (as would, by the way, most China-based economists) that China has a &#8220;quick-reacting and iron-fisted government that can change economic regulations at the drop of a hat.&#8221;  On the contrary one of the big problems Beijing faces is that factional infighting has created policy paralysis, in Pettis&#8217; words, and even when policy is agreed to it is often nearly impossible for Beijing to enforce it in the provinces.</p>
<p>Second they cannot easily &#8220;toy with its money and exchange rate, making it incredibly difficult to exchange even small amounts of currency from the yuan to others.&#8221;  They have got themselves caught in a monetary policy that they are desperate to control but cannot get out of, and it seems that speculative inflows this year were the highest ever recorded in history.  They tried everything they could to stop it, but to no avail.</p>
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		<title>By: Scott Miller</title>
		<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/comment-page-1/#comment-1612</link>
		<dc:creator>Scott Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 16:50:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/?p=456#comment-1612</guid>
		<description>While it is true that the US economy is tied in with the rest of the world, it is inaccurate to say America is ruining the world.  China does depend heavily upon exports to the US, but it also has a quick-reacting and iron-fisted government that can change economic regulations at the drop of a hat.  It can also toy with its money and exchange rate, making it incredibly difficult to exchange even small amounts of currency from the yuan to others.  As mentioned by always alpha, the Chinese people will feel the brunt of any economic crash.  China has been through much, much worse and survived somewhat recently, through the suffering of its own people (Great Leap Forward, 1959-61, estimated 30-60 million died of starvation).   The CCP is not communist at all anymore, but it is still authoritarian and directly controls the military.  So, even if there is a crash, China will not collapse.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While it is true that the US economy is tied in with the rest of the world, it is inaccurate to say America is ruining the world.  China does depend heavily upon exports to the US, but it also has a quick-reacting and iron-fisted government that can change economic regulations at the drop of a hat.  It can also toy with its money and exchange rate, making it incredibly difficult to exchange even small amounts of currency from the yuan to others.  As mentioned by always alpha, the Chinese people will feel the brunt of any economic crash.  China has been through much, much worse and survived somewhat recently, through the suffering of its own people (Great Leap Forward, 1959-61, estimated 30-60 million died of starvation).   The CCP is not communist at all anymore, but it is still authoritarian and directly controls the military.  So, even if there is a crash, China will not collapse.</p>
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		<title>By: laura &#38; tony &#187; china&#8217;s coming crash</title>
		<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/comment-page-1/#comment-1611</link>
		<dc:creator>laura &#38; tony &#187; china&#8217;s coming crash</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 09:18:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/?p=456#comment-1611</guid>
		<description>[...] have been a lot of posts regarding China&#8217;s coming crash. Tyler mentioned a few weeks ago that the financial crisis [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] have been a lot of posts regarding China&#8217;s coming crash. Tyler mentioned a few weeks ago that the financial crisis [...]</p>
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		<title>By: alwaysalpha</title>
		<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/comment-page-1/#comment-1608</link>
		<dc:creator>alwaysalpha</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Oct 2008 16:24:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/?p=456#comment-1608</guid>
		<description>China will survive. This survival will be problematic for the Chinese citizenry though. Where as the West has market input and influence, ultimately the entire input (destiny) is controlled by the Chinese Government. Meaning, if and when (they surely will) things get bad, the Communist government will rule as they do -- with an iron fist. As usual in Communist domains, the people will ultimately get the short end of this very pointy stick.

@Lance Atkinson. America is not ruining the world. You would be well served to at least try and understand complex issues.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>China will survive. This survival will be problematic for the Chinese citizenry though. Where as the West has market input and influence, ultimately the entire input (destiny) is controlled by the Chinese Government. Meaning, if and when (they surely will) things get bad, the Communist government will rule as they do &#8212; with an iron fist. As usual in Communist domains, the people will ultimately get the short end of this very pointy stick.</p>
<p>@Lance Atkinson. America is not ruining the world. You would be well served to at least try and understand complex issues.</p>
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		<title>By: Lance Atkinson</title>
		<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/comment-page-1/#comment-1606</link>
		<dc:creator>Lance Atkinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 12:06:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/?p=456#comment-1606</guid>
		<description>World finance is fully connected. That&#039;s why we are having this financial crisis. America is ruining the rest of the world. So china will be destroyed with the sink of america!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>World finance is fully connected. That&#8217;s why we are having this financial crisis. America is ruining the rest of the world. So china will be destroyed with the sink of america!</p>
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		<title>By: PGS</title>
		<link>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/2008/10/03/great-crash-or-rocky-stability/comment-page-1/#comment-1600</link>
		<dc:creator>PGS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2008 07:45:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/guorui/?p=456#comment-1600</guid>
		<description>Klein is a China-basher. Check out who his employer is and their agenda. He doesn&#039;t know what he is talking about. Check out what really drives China&#039;s GDP. Exports is the smallest component of expense measured GDP. He&#039;s lame, and will be proven wrong. The FEER should have higher standards.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Klein is a China-basher. Check out who his employer is and their agenda. He doesn&#8217;t know what he is talking about. Check out what really drives China&#8217;s GDP. Exports is the smallest component of expense measured GDP. He&#8217;s lame, and will be proven wrong. The FEER should have higher standards.</p>
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