Joi Ito just wrote from Japan, and I recall that at last summer’s Fortune Brainstorm conference Joi was emphasizing the hidden power of the Chinese–and that the Chinese really aspire to superpower status, and a major form of global leadership.
I think that the Chinese are the real winners in the war on Iraq. While the United States blows resources on a destructive cause, the Chinese are staying focused on strengthening their core economy. The United States ties itself up in years of economically and morally-draining occupation of Iraq–while the Chinese stay free and focused.
I figure that the war on Iraq probably will hasten Chinese leadership over the US by several years.
By the way, this is another reason why we need a second, non-governmental superpower. Whoever is the dominant nation, the world needs a balancer. For those who are approving of a single superpower model with the US in the lead role–consider how you may feel when China holds the position. Do you now see the need for another model–or at least another player?
Enough–I’m ranting. But all this because it was good to hear from Joi!