Jim Moore’s blog: Innovation, Strategy, Public Policy

Carol Moseley Braun was just here in the HQ in Manchester

January 24th, 2004 · Comments Off

Carol Moseley Braun was just here visiting us in the Dean HQ in Manchester!  We gave her a farmworkers’ clap of welcome when she arrived, and then again as she left.  Yeeaaaagh!



Tags: Economics and cybenetics

“Surprise Weekend” 50,000 copies of Judy Dean & Howard Dean tape to be given out in NH

January 24th, 2004 · Comments Off

From Dean for America in Manchester New Hampshire two minutes ago:


MEDIA ADVISORY                     CONTACT
January 24, 2004                   NH Press Office, 603/222-1900



WHAT YOU CAN COUNT ON DURING SURPRISE WEEKEND



MANCHESTER – The final weekend before the New Hampshire Primary is known
for surprises. Here is what we know for sure:



- 50,000 copies of the ABC Prime Time Thursday interview with Governor
  Dean and Dr. Judy Steinberg Dean will be distributed this weekend.



- 2,000 New Hampshire Dean supporters will hand deliver 40,000 packages
  with information to 40,000 doors this weekend.



- Dean volunteers in Manchester will now be exclusively organized from
  the brand new Volunteer Operations Center at 1111 Elm Street. Dean
  volunteers will continue to be the best organized in the Granite
  State because they remember why they started working for a little
  known Governor from a small state with no money and the odds stacked
  against him: He brought hope. And still does.



- New Hampshire Dean supporters have held 2,309 house meetings bringing
  voters together to talk about the values they share and what brings
  them to support Howard Dean.



- Howard Dean is the candidate with a record of results. He has ignited
  the grassroots and made people believe again, or for the first time,
  in the politics of the possible. Howard Dean is the candidate that
  revolutionized politics and fundraising and continues to set the tone
  and the pace of this race.

Tags: Economics and cybenetics

In NH at Manchester Dean HQ, off to rally in a few minutes

January 24th, 2004 · Comments Off

The energy here is high, calm-in-a-zen-like-way, with lots and lots of focused activity: calling, organizing groups to go door-to-door, to do “visibility” in the cold in public places, etc.  We are printing 10000 get-out-the-vote (”gotv”) walk and call lists today.  Amazing grassroots enthusiasm.  Yesterday’s Keene speech of the Governor really hit it: this is our campaign, and we need to make it happen.


Many delegates remain to be selected in other states, starting February 3 (one week to the day after New Hampshire).  Dean is CURRENTLY doing well around the country, contrary to the impression the press conveys:


From ARC today:


Howard Dean has an 11 percentage-point lead in Arizona, with 35% of likely Democratic primary voters undecided. Wesley Clark is in second place at 15%. Ballot preferences for the other 7 major candidates are in the single digits. Details from the survey conducted December 20-23 are at Arizona.


Howard Dean and Wesley Clark are virtually tied in Oklahoma, with Dean at 24% and Clark at 21%. They are the only major candidates with double-digit ballot preference. 34% of likely Democratic primary voters in Oklahoma remain undecided. Details from the survey conducted December 20-23 are at Oklahoma.


Increases in awareness and favorability have given Howard Dean a lift in South Carolina. Dean leads a very competitive field with 16%, followed by Wesley Clark at 12%, Al Sharpton at 12%, and John Edwards at 11%. Details of the survey conducted December 17-21 are available at South Carolina.


 

Tags: Economics and cybenetics

Today’s Zogby poll shows NH race tightening, perhaps moving

January 24th, 2004 · Comments Off

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=791


Zogby International


Released: January 24, 2004


Kerry Now Leads by 9 Points in New Hampshire; Friday Polling Shows Race May Be Tightening.  Are Edwards and Lieberman Poised to Hit Double-Digits? New Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby Poll Unveiled



Massachusetts Senator John Kerry extends his lead by a point over Former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, 31% – 22% for New Hampshire’s Democratic primary next Tuesday, according to the new Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby Poll.


Retired General Wesley Clark remains in third place with 14%, followed by North Carolina Senator John Edwards at 8% and Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman with 7%.  Clark remained steady, while Edwards and Lieberman picked up one point each as undecideds dropped to 13%.































































1/21-23



1/20-22



1/19–21



1/18-20



Kerry



31%



30%



27%



23%



Dean



22



22



24



25



Clark



14



14



15



16



Edwards



8



7



8



7



Lieberman



7



6



6



7



Kucinich



2



1



1



2



Sharpton



1



0.1



0



0.1



Undecided



13



17



17



16

 May not add up to 100%, due to rounding


Pollster John Zogby:  “Kerry’s lead is now 9 points over three days; however he led only by 26%-22% over Dean in Friday polling alone, while Edwards and Lieberman each hit 10%.


“ Kerry leads among most sub-groups, including double-digit leads among Independents, the oldest voters, moderates, and married voters.


“Dean’s showing on Friday may suggest that he has bottomed out and may in fact be starting to increase.  Kerry’s 26-point performance on Friday is factored into two previous nights of double-digit leads.  Another day like this and Dean may be in striking distance again.


“More than three-in-five (62%) of Dean’s supporters say their support is ‘very strong,” as do 60% of Kerry’s.  There appears to be movement here, as there was in Iowa.”


Polling results will be released daily through Tuesday, January 27th, the date of New Hampshire’s Democratic primary election.Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of 601 likely primary voters statewide over a rolling three-day period. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Wednesday, January 21 through Friday, January 23. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

Tags: Economics and cybenetics

Media in this political moment

January 24th, 2004 · Comments Off

Dave Winer has a good summary this morning of how the media is working in this political moment:  http://archive.scripting.com/2004/01/24#…

Tags: Economics and cybenetics

Current New Hampshire tracking polls from ARG

January 24th, 2004 · Comments Off


 http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/…

[Candidates listed alphabetically. Most recent data is in LAST column.]

3-Day Results Jan 16-18 Jan 17-19 Jan 18-20 Jan 19-21 Jan 20-22 Jan 21-23

Clark 20% 19% 18% 19% 20% 19%

Dean 28% 28% 26% 22% 18% 15%

Edwards 8% 8% 9% 9% 11% 13%

Kerry 19% 20% 24% 27% 31% 34%

Kucinich 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Lieberman 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6%

Sharpton 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Undecided 15% 13% 13% 14% 12% 12%

Tags: Economics and cybenetics

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