Jim Moore’s blog: Innovation, Strategy, Public Policy

In NH at Manchester Dean HQ, off to rally in a few minutes

January 24th, 2004 · No Comments

The energy here is high, calm-in-a-zen-like-way, with lots and lots of focused activity: calling, organizing groups to go door-to-door, to do “visibility” in the cold in public places, etc.  We are printing 10000 get-out-the-vote (”gotv”) walk and call lists today.  Amazing grassroots enthusiasm.  Yesterday’s Keene speech of the Governor really hit it: this is our campaign, and we need to make it happen.


Many delegates remain to be selected in other states, starting February 3 (one week to the day after New Hampshire).  Dean is CURRENTLY doing well around the country, contrary to the impression the press conveys:


From ARC today:


Howard Dean has an 11 percentage-point lead in Arizona, with 35% of likely Democratic primary voters undecided. Wesley Clark is in second place at 15%. Ballot preferences for the other 7 major candidates are in the single digits. Details from the survey conducted December 20-23 are at Arizona.


Howard Dean and Wesley Clark are virtually tied in Oklahoma, with Dean at 24% and Clark at 21%. They are the only major candidates with double-digit ballot preference. 34% of likely Democratic primary voters in Oklahoma remain undecided. Details from the survey conducted December 20-23 are at Oklahoma.


Increases in awareness and favorability have given Howard Dean a lift in South Carolina. Dean leads a very competitive field with 16%, followed by Wesley Clark at 12%, Al Sharpton at 12%, and John Edwards at 11%. Details of the survey conducted December 17-21 are available at South Carolina.


 

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