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Today’s Zogby poll shows NH race tightening, perhaps moving

January 24th, 2004 · No Comments

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=791


Zogby International


Released: January 24, 2004


Kerry Now Leads by 9 Points in New Hampshire; Friday Polling Shows Race May Be Tightening.  Are Edwards and Lieberman Poised to Hit Double-Digits? New Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby Poll Unveiled



Massachusetts Senator John Kerry extends his lead by a point over Former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, 31% – 22% for New Hampshire’s Democratic primary next Tuesday, according to the new Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby Poll.


Retired General Wesley Clark remains in third place with 14%, followed by North Carolina Senator John Edwards at 8% and Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman with 7%.  Clark remained steady, while Edwards and Lieberman picked up one point each as undecideds dropped to 13%.































































1/21-23



1/20-22



1/19–21



1/18-20



Kerry



31%



30%



27%



23%



Dean



22



22



24



25



Clark



14



14



15



16



Edwards



8



7



8



7



Lieberman



7



6



6



7



Kucinich



2



1



1



2



Sharpton



1



0.1



0



0.1



Undecided



13



17



17



16

 May not add up to 100%, due to rounding


Pollster John Zogby:  “Kerry’s lead is now 9 points over three days; however he led only by 26%-22% over Dean in Friday polling alone, while Edwards and Lieberman each hit 10%.


“ Kerry leads among most sub-groups, including double-digit leads among Independents, the oldest voters, moderates, and married voters.


“Dean’s showing on Friday may suggest that he has bottomed out and may in fact be starting to increase.  Kerry’s 26-point performance on Friday is factored into two previous nights of double-digit leads.  Another day like this and Dean may be in striking distance again.


“More than three-in-five (62%) of Dean’s supporters say their support is ‘very strong,” as do 60% of Kerry’s.  There appears to be movement here, as there was in Iowa.”


Polling results will be released daily through Tuesday, January 27th, the date of New Hampshire’s Democratic primary election.Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of 601 likely primary voters statewide over a rolling three-day period. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Wednesday, January 21 through Friday, January 23. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

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