Posted in Chuck Freilich, Andrew Exum, Nuclear, Diplomacy, Iran on Jul 1st, 2008 2 Comments »
From Chuck Freilich
Thirty years ago, in his magnificent book on Perception and Misperception, Robert Jervis argued that people’s views are self-reinforcing. Once we believe something to be the case, we further develop an array of arguments to discount those pesky doubts that we may harbor and to fully convince ourselves that our initial position is […]
Posted in Josef Joffe, Robert O. Freedman, Chuck Freilich, Mark T. Clark, Israel, Martin Kramer, Stephen Peter Rosen, Nuclear, Iran on Jun 26th, 2008 7 Comments »
Earlier this month, Israel sent more than 100 warplanes on military maneuvers across the Eastern Mediterranean. An unnamed U.S. official described the exercise as practice toward honing the skills for a long-range strike. The assumption is that the maneuvers signal an Israeli willingness and capability to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities, if all other measures to […]
Posted in Russia, Chuck Freilich, Josef Joffe, Nuclear, Iran on Apr 22nd, 2008 3 Comments »
From Chuck Freilich
Is it too late to dissuade Iran from developing nukes? A nuclear Iran does increasingly loom as the likely outcome, not because it is too late, but due to lack of sufficient resolve. Iran is at least two and probably more years away from an operational capability. France has taken a firm position […]
Posted in Arab Gulf, Chuck Freilich, Michael Mandelbaum, Israel, Jacqueline Newmyer, Stephen Peter Rosen, Terrorism, Nuclear, Iran on Apr 17th, 2008 3 Comments »
From Jacqueline Newmyer and Stephen Peter Rosen
The extension of American nuclear guarantees in the Middle East has been posed as a question of American guarantees to Israel. This is understandable given the intense hostility to Israel expressed by the Iranian regime. However, there is a broader objective that may be served by U.S. nuclear guarantees […]
Posted in Alan Dowty, Harvey Sicherman, Barry Rubin, Adam Garfinkle, Nuclear, Israel, Iran on Apr 14th, 2008 3 Comments »
From Alan Dowty
So the focus shifts to deterrence. Both Charles Krauthammer (here) and Zev Chafets (here) hold out little hope for international efforts to block Iran getting the bomb, or for military action to that end (though Chafets suggests that Israel might be able “in the best case” to weaken and delay Iran’s program). […]
Posted in Hezbollah, Daniel Byman, Nuclear, Qaeda, Pakistan, Iran on Mar 31st, 2008 No Comments »
From Daniel Byman
U.S. and world attention is focused understandably on the Iranian nuclear program. The list of reasons to worry about an Iranian bomb is exceptionally long and, for the most part, legitimate.
Posted in Michael Horowitz, Mark T. Clark, Nuclear, Iran on Mar 5th, 2008 1 Comment »
From Mark T. Clark
On Monday, March 3, the Security Council adopted its third resolution imposing sanctions on Iran for its refusal to cease enriching uranium. The Director-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Mohamed ElBaradei, in a classic understatement of the problem, announced in part that:
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